Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai will likely see a peak temperature near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical early-August monsoon moisture patterns that limit extreme heating while sustaining high humidity. Urban heat island effects in the city amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines, supporting the market's tight clustering around these values. Key variables include variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers, which could cap the high at 34°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 35–36°C. Historical August data show similar conditions yield highs in this narrow band, with resolution hinging on official station readings amid low typhoon activity this week.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 3. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 3. August?
35°C 39%
34°C 32%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
18%
34°C
32%
35°C
39%
36°C
10%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
34°C 32%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$247 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$120 Vol.
1%
31°C
$145 Vol.
2%
32°C
$266 Vol.
5%
33°C
$170 Vol.
18%
34°C
$796 Vol.
32%
35°C
$1,139 Vol.
39%
36°C
$215 Vol.
10%
37°C
$821 Vol.
4%
38°C
$106 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$527 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai will likely see a peak temperature near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical early-August monsoon moisture patterns that limit extreme heating while sustaining high humidity. Urban heat island effects in the city amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines, supporting the market's tight clustering around these values. Key variables include variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers, which could cap the high at 34°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 35–36°C. Historical August data show similar conditions yield highs in this narrow band, with resolution hinging on official station readings amid low typhoon activity this week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$4,552Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai will likely see a peak temperature near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical early-August monsoon moisture patterns that limit extreme heating while sustaining high humidity. Urban heat island effects in the city amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines, supporting the market's tight clustering around these values. Key variables include variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers, which could cap the high at 34°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 35–36°C. Historical August data show similar conditions yield highs in this narrow band, with resolution hinging on official station readings amid low typhoon activity this week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,552Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai will likely see a peak temperature near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical early-August monsoon moisture patterns that limit extreme heating while sustaining high humidity. Urban heat island effects in the city amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines, supporting the market's tight clustering around these values. Key variables include variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers, which could cap the high at 34°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 35–36°C. Historical August data show similar conditions yield highs in this narrow band, with resolution hinging on official station readings amid low typhoon activity this week.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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