Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS, updated within the past 48 hours, show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the mei-yu front, keeping the June 23 daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting model consensus on limited solar heating and elevated boundary-layer moisture during the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical June climatology places average highs near 27–28 °C, but the current pattern favors suppressed temperatures by 2–3 °C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C against potential model timing differences in any convective cells and the precise strength of onshore flow, with the next high-resolution runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 23. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 23. Juni?
24°C 100.0%
19°C oder darunter <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$189,195 Vol.
$189,195 Vol.
23. Juni 2026
19°C oder darunter
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Ja
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C oder höher
Nein
24°C 100.0%
19°C oder darunter <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$189,195 Vol.
$189,195 Vol.
23. Juni 2026
19°C oder darunter
$371 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$27,301 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$3,336 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$8,297 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$82,055 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$32,728 Vol.
Ja
25°C
$15,880 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$8,461 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$4,764 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$2,558 Vol.
Nein
29°C oder höher
$3,444 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS, updated within the past 48 hours, show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the mei-yu front, keeping the June 23 daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting model consensus on limited solar heating and elevated boundary-layer moisture during the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical June climatology places average highs near 27–28 °C, but the current pattern favors suppressed temperatures by 2–3 °C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C against potential model timing differences in any convective cells and the precise strength of onshore flow, with the next high-resolution runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$189,195Enddatum
23. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS, updated within the past 48 hours, show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the mei-yu front, keeping the June 23 daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting model consensus on limited solar heating and elevated boundary-layer moisture during the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical June climatology places average highs near 27–28 °C, but the current pattern favors suppressed temperatures by 2–3 °C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C against potential model timing differences in any convective cells and the precise strength of onshore flow, with the next high-resolution runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$189,195Enddatum
23. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS, updated within the past 48 hours, show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the mei-yu front, keeping the June 23 daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting model consensus on limited solar heating and elevated boundary-layer moisture during the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical June climatology places average highs near 27–28 °C, but the current pattern favors suppressed temperatures by 2–3 °C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C against potential model timing differences in any convective cells and the precise strength of onshore flow, with the next high-resolution runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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