Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on April 25?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,387 Vol.
$73,387 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,387 Vol.
$73,387 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 23, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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