Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$157,678 Vol.
$157,678 Vol.
16. Juni 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Ja
35°C oder höher
Nein
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$157,678 Vol.
$157,678 Vol.
16. Juni 2026
25°C or below
$3,048 Vol.
No
26°C
$15,018 Vol.
No
27°C
$14,593 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,065 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,133 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$12,771 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$14,587 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$14,344 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$18,177 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$26,651 Vol.
Ja
35°C oder höher
$17,292 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$157,678Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$157,678Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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