Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (100% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on May 6 at Songshan Airport station, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24–27°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers (30% precipitation chance). Yesterday's cool 21°C peak reflected lingering frontal clouds, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flows enable slight rebound toward seasonal May norms (average highs near 28°C), with early observations confirming temperatures climbing into the upper 20s. Realistic challenges include persistent overcast suppressing peaks to 27°C or brief clearing allowing solar heating to push 29°C; final CWA hourly data will resolve this as the day ends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on May 6?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$82,068 Vol.
$82,068 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$82,068 Vol.
$82,068 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (100% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on May 6 at Songshan Airport station, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24–27°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers (30% precipitation chance). Yesterday's cool 21°C peak reflected lingering frontal clouds, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flows enable slight rebound toward seasonal May norms (average highs near 28°C), with early observations confirming temperatures climbing into the upper 20s. Realistic challenges include persistent overcast suppressing peaks to 27°C or brief clearing allowing solar heating to push 29°C; final CWA hourly data will resolve this as the day ends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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