Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and complementary sources project a daily maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on July 13, driven by typical eastern Mediterranean summer conditions featuring light westerly flow, sea-breeze moderation, and minimal cloud cover. This range aligns with July climatology, where average highs reach 29–31°C and extremes above 34°C remain uncommon without strong subsidence or northerly wind shifts. Recent model runs show little day-to-day volatility, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (20.5%) outcomes while assigning low probability to outliers. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will refine timing of any minor warming or cooling signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 13. Juli?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$22,924 Vol.
$22,924 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$22,924 Vol.
$22,924 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and complementary sources project a daily maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on July 13, driven by typical eastern Mediterranean summer conditions featuring light westerly flow, sea-breeze moderation, and minimal cloud cover. This range aligns with July climatology, where average highs reach 29–31°C and extremes above 34°C remain uncommon without strong subsidence or northerly wind shifts. Recent model runs show little day-to-day volatility, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (20.5%) outcomes while assigning low probability to outliers. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will refine timing of any minor warming or cooling signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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