Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models show above-average warmth across eastern Japan, positioning Tokyo for daytime highs near or above 29°C on June 1 amid an early summer heat pattern. This consensus stems from confirmed observational trends and model runs indicating warmer-than-normal conditions, well above the typical early-June average high of 25–26°C. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 29°C or higher reflects this strong scientific alignment, with minimal uncertainty in current guidance. A late-arriving cold front or unexpected heavy rainfall could theoretically cap temperatures below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 1?
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$53,765 Vol.
$53,765 Vol.
1. Juni 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
Yes
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$53,765 Vol.
$53,765 Vol.
1. Juni 2026
19°C or below
$1,555 Vol.
No
20°C
$643 Vol.
No
21°C
$485 Vol.
No
22°C
$382 Vol.
No
23°C
$553 Vol.
No
24°C
$713 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,212 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,308 Vol.
No
27°C
$13,105 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,652 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$14,157 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models show above-average warmth across eastern Japan, positioning Tokyo for daytime highs near or above 29°C on June 1 amid an early summer heat pattern. This consensus stems from confirmed observational trends and model runs indicating warmer-than-normal conditions, well above the typical early-June average high of 25–26°C. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 29°C or higher reflects this strong scientific alignment, with minimal uncertainty in current guidance. A late-arriving cold front or unexpected heavy rainfall could theoretically cap temperatures below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volumen
$53,765Enddatum
1. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models show above-average warmth across eastern Japan, positioning Tokyo for daytime highs near or above 29°C on June 1 amid an early summer heat pattern. This consensus stems from confirmed observational trends and model runs indicating warmer-than-normal conditions, well above the typical early-June average high of 25–26°C. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 29°C or higher reflects this strong scientific alignment, with minimal uncertainty in current guidance. A late-arriving cold front or unexpected heavy rainfall could theoretically cap temperatures below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$53,765Enddatum
1. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models show above-average warmth across eastern Japan, positioning Tokyo for daytime highs near or above 29°C on June 1 amid an early summer heat pattern. This consensus stems from confirmed observational trends and model runs indicating warmer-than-normal conditions, well above the typical early-June average high of 25–26°C. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 29°C or higher reflects this strong scientific alignment, with minimal uncertainty in current guidance. A late-arriving cold front or unexpected heavy rainfall could theoretically cap temperatures below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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