Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts a high of 18°C for Toronto on April 14 amid periods of rain and cloudy skies, anchoring trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for 21°C or below as the leading outcome. This positioning stems from recent observational data at Toronto Pearson International Airport (YYZ), where April 11 peaked at just 10°C versus seasonal normals of 11°C, coupled with persistent showers forecasted through April 9-15 that limit solar heating and insolation. Model consensus from short-range runs like GEM shows an upper-level trough steering cool, moist air over southern Ontario, suppressing temperatures below recent mild outliers around 22-26°C (traded at 25-27%). Daily forecast updates expected April 13 could refine this, though climatological mid-April baselines and current synoptic patterns make hotter outcomes unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Toronto on April 14?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 14?
21°C or below 72%
22°C 13%
23°C 13%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
72%
22°C
13%
23°C
13%
24°C
7%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 72%
22°C 13%
23°C 13%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
72%
22°C
13%
23°C
13%
24°C
7%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts a high of 18°C for Toronto on April 14 amid periods of rain and cloudy skies, anchoring trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for 21°C or below as the leading outcome. This positioning stems from recent observational data at Toronto Pearson International Airport (YYZ), where April 11 peaked at just 10°C versus seasonal normals of 11°C, coupled with persistent showers forecasted through April 9-15 that limit solar heating and insolation. Model consensus from short-range runs like GEM shows an upper-level trough steering cool, moist air over southern Ontario, suppressing temperatures below recent mild outliers around 22-26°C (traded at 25-27%). Daily forecast updates expected April 13 could refine this, though climatological mid-April baselines and current synoptic patterns make hotter outcomes unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen