Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 12. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 12. Juli?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$37,439 Vol.
$37,439 Vol.
12. Juli 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$37,439 Vol.
$37,439 Vol.
12. Juli 2026
22°C or below
$3,660 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$784 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,536 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$917 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,559 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,803 Vol.
100%
28°C
$6,190 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,768 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,077 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,170 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$973 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$37,439Enddatum
12. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$37,439Enddatum
12. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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