Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 3. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 3. Juli?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$103,022 Vol.
$103,022 Vol.
3. Juli 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$103,022 Vol.
$103,022 Vol.
3. Juli 2026
7°C or below
$1,522 Vol.
No
8°C
$3,601 Vol.
No
9°C
$3,694 Vol.
No
10°C
$4,057 Vol.
No
11°C
$7,979 Vol.
No
12°C
$10,071 Vol.
No
13°C
$27,489 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$16,634 Vol.
No
15°C
$19,094 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,966 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$3,915 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$103,022Enddatum
3. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$103,022Enddatum
3. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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