Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 100.0%
8°C oder darunter <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$61,546 Vol.
$61,546 Vol.
8°C oder darunter
Nein
9°C
No
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Ja
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C oder höher
Nein
14°C 100.0%
8°C oder darunter <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$61,546 Vol.
$61,546 Vol.
8°C oder darunter
Nein
9°C
No
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Ja
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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