Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 21. April?
17°C 100.0%
8°C oder darunter <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$70,396 Vol.
$70,396 Vol.
8°C oder darunter
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Ja
18°C oder höher
Nein
17°C 100.0%
8°C oder darunter <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$70,396 Vol.
$70,396 Vol.
8°C oder darunter
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Ja
18°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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