Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F low temperature in New York City on April 29, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA)—the market's designated resolution station—archived via Weather Underground, confirming the daily minimum fell squarely in this range. This outcome exceeded pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, which anticipated upper-40s lows amid cloudy conditions and light winds, but persistent overcast skies and urban heat island effects around the airport prevented deeper cooling overnight. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation, though a rare data correction or archival discrepancy could theoretically prompt review; final NWS climatological summaries, typically released within 24 hours, solidify this positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 29. April?
Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 29. April?
50-51°F 100.0%
41°F oder darunter <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$19,807 Vol.
$19,807 Vol.
29. Apr. 2026
41°F oder darunter
Nein
42-43°F
Nein
44-45°F
Nein
46-47°F
Nein
48-49°F
Nein
50-51°F
Ja
52-53°F
Nein
54-55°F
Nein
56-57°F
Nein
58-59°F
Nein
60°F oder höher
Nein
50-51°F 100.0%
41°F oder darunter <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$19,807 Vol.
$19,807 Vol.
29. Apr. 2026
41°F oder darunter
$3,206 Vol.
Nein
42-43°F
$1,944 Vol.
Nein
44-45°F
$963 Vol.
Nein
46-47°F
$1,073 Vol.
Nein
48-49°F
$1,956 Vol.
Nein
50-51°F
$4,661 Vol.
Ja
52-53°F
$1,611 Vol.
Nein
54-55°F
$482 Vol.
Nein
56-57°F
$1,148 Vol.
Nein
58-59°F
$1,341 Vol.
Nein
60°F oder höher
$1,421 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F low temperature in New York City on April 29, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA)—the market's designated resolution station—archived via Weather Underground, confirming the daily minimum fell squarely in this range. This outcome exceeded pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, which anticipated upper-40s lows amid cloudy conditions and light winds, but persistent overcast skies and urban heat island effects around the airport prevented deeper cooling overnight. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation, though a rare data correction or archival discrepancy could theoretically prompt review; final NWS climatological summaries, typically released within 24 hours, solidify this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$19,807Enddatum
29. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F low temperature in New York City on April 29, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA)—the market's designated resolution station—archived via Weather Underground, confirming the daily minimum fell squarely in this range. This outcome exceeded pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, which anticipated upper-40s lows amid cloudy conditions and light winds, but persistent overcast skies and urban heat island effects around the airport prevented deeper cooling overnight. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation, though a rare data correction or archival discrepancy could theoretically prompt review; final NWS climatological summaries, typically released within 24 hours, solidify this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,807Enddatum
29. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F low temperature in New York City on April 29, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA)—the market's designated resolution station—archived via Weather Underground, confirming the daily minimum fell squarely in this range. This outcome exceeded pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, which anticipated upper-40s lows amid cloudy conditions and light winds, but persistent overcast skies and urban heat island effects around the airport prevented deeper cooling overnight. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation, though a rare data correction or archival discrepancy could theoretically prompt review; final NWS climatological summaries, typically released within 24 hours, solidify this positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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