Official National Weather Service observations from the primary New York City station recorded a daily minimum of 66–67°F on June 15, 2026, anchoring the market at 100% probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with the observed nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light winds typical of mid-June high-pressure ridging, where radiative heat loss produced lows near the seasonal average of 62–68°F at LaGuardia. Model guidance from the prior 48 hours showed tight consensus around this range with minimal spread, confirming the result before final verification. Only a rare station calibration error or unreported microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter resolution, both of which fall well outside historical precedent for this market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 15. Juni?
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F oder darunter <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$29,328 Vol.
$29,328 Vol.
55°F oder darunter
Nein
56-57°F
Nein
58-59°F
Nein
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Ja
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74°F oder höher
Nein
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F oder darunter <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$29,328 Vol.
$29,328 Vol.
55°F oder darunter
Nein
56-57°F
Nein
58-59°F
Nein
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Nein
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Ja
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official National Weather Service observations from the primary New York City station recorded a daily minimum of 66–67°F on June 15, 2026, anchoring the market at 100% probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with the observed nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light winds typical of mid-June high-pressure ridging, where radiative heat loss produced lows near the seasonal average of 62–68°F at LaGuardia. Model guidance from the prior 48 hours showed tight consensus around this range with minimal spread, confirming the result before final verification. Only a rare station calibration error or unreported microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter resolution, both of which fall well outside historical precedent for this market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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