Recent short-range forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show variability in overnight radiative cooling for Paris on July 18, with minimum temperatures hinging on cloud cover, Atlantic frontal passages, and boundary-layer wind patterns that could advect cooler maritime air or sustain warmer continental conditions. Following mid-July heat and thundery showers on the 17th, traders see near-even odds between a dip to 12°C or below versus stabilization near 17°C because ensemble spreads remain wide on dew-point depression and subsidence strength. Upcoming model runs and official guidance will clarify whether clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling below seasonal 15–16°C averages or if lingering moisture caps the low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 18. Juli?
17°C 100.0%
12°C oder weniger <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$21,841 Vol.
$21,841 Vol.
12°C oder weniger
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Ja
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C oder höher
Nein
17°C 100.0%
12°C oder weniger <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$21,841 Vol.
$21,841 Vol.
12°C oder weniger
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Ja
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent short-range forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show variability in overnight radiative cooling for Paris on July 18, with minimum temperatures hinging on cloud cover, Atlantic frontal passages, and boundary-layer wind patterns that could advect cooler maritime air or sustain warmer continental conditions. Following mid-July heat and thundery showers on the 17th, traders see near-even odds between a dip to 12°C or below versus stabilization near 17°C because ensemble spreads remain wide on dew-point depression and subsidence strength. Upcoming model runs and official guidance will clarify whether clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling below seasonal 15–16°C averages or if lingering moisture caps the low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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