Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 24. Juli?
14°C 100.0%
10°C oder niedriger <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$17,515 Vol.
$17,515 Vol.
10°C oder niedriger
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Ja
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C oder höher
Nein
14°C 100.0%
10°C oder niedriger <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$17,515 Vol.
$17,515 Vol.
10°C oder niedriger
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Ja
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen