Strong meteorological forecasts for June 13, 2026, underpin the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low in Paris, with models from Météo-France and European ensembles projecting clear skies, light winds, and stable overnight conditions yielding a minimum near that threshold at the official Paris-Le Bourget station. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, where average lows hover near 13–14°C but recent high-pressure dominance has kept readings milder. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these model runs, which show limited spread and minimal risk of significant cooling. Only a late-model shift introducing unexpected radiative cooling or localized fog could realistically push the actual minimum to 15°C or below, though such revisions remain unlikely given current observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 13. Juni?
16°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
9°C oder weniger <1%
10°C <1%
$12,106 Vol.
$12,106 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Ja
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C oder höher
Nein
16°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
9°C oder weniger <1%
10°C <1%
$12,106 Vol.
$12,106 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Ja
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Strong meteorological forecasts for June 13, 2026, underpin the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low in Paris, with models from Météo-France and European ensembles projecting clear skies, light winds, and stable overnight conditions yielding a minimum near that threshold at the official Paris-Le Bourget station. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, where average lows hover near 13–14°C but recent high-pressure dominance has kept readings milder. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these model runs, which show limited spread and minimal risk of significant cooling. Only a late-model shift introducing unexpected radiative cooling or localized fog could realistically push the actual minimum to 15°C or below, though such revisions remain unlikely given current observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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