Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those from Météo-France and international ensembles, converge on a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for Paris on June 15, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-June radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows commonly range 12–15°C absent anomalous advection. The near-certain market pricing reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected variability in surface observations at official stations. Unlikely shifts could arise from an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement discrepancies at the reference site, though such outcomes remain improbable given the late timing and current synoptic setup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 15. Juni?
14°C 100.0%
10°C oder weniger <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,237 Vol.
$22,237 Vol.
10°C oder weniger
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Ja
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C oder höher
Nein
14°C 100.0%
10°C oder weniger <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,237 Vol.
$22,237 Vol.
10°C oder weniger
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Ja
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those from Météo-France and international ensembles, converge on a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for Paris on June 15, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-June radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows commonly range 12–15°C absent anomalous advection. The near-certain market pricing reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected variability in surface observations at official stations. Unlikely shifts could arise from an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement discrepancies at the reference site, though such outcomes remain improbable given the late timing and current synoptic setup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen