Recent monsoon (Changma) activity and associated cloud cover over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers keeping Seoul's July 9 overnight low centered near the historical 23–24 °C average. Persistent humidity and periodic rain suppress nighttime radiative cooling by trapping long-wave radiation, while any breaks in cloud allowing clearer skies could permit greater heat loss and push the minimum toward 21–22 °C. Short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows limited day-to-day variability this week, with steering winds and frontal position as the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Trader prices clustered tightly around 22–25 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 9. Juli?
23°C 100.0%
18°C oder darunter <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$42,453 Vol.
$42,453 Vol.
18°C oder darunter
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Ja
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
23°C 100.0%
18°C oder darunter <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$42,453 Vol.
$42,453 Vol.
18°C oder darunter
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Ja
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent monsoon (Changma) activity and associated cloud cover over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers keeping Seoul's July 9 overnight low centered near the historical 23–24 °C average. Persistent humidity and periodic rain suppress nighttime radiative cooling by trapping long-wave radiation, while any breaks in cloud allowing clearer skies could permit greater heat loss and push the minimum toward 21–22 °C. Short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows limited day-to-day variability this week, with steering winds and frontal position as the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Trader prices clustered tightly around 22–25 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen