Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 19. Juni?
21°C 100.0%
15°C oder darunter <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,895 Vol.
$32,895 Vol.
15°C oder darunter
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Nein
21°C 100.0%
15°C oder darunter <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,895 Vol.
$32,895 Vol.
15°C oder darunter
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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