Recent forecasts for Shanghai show a minimum temperature near 27°C on July 19 amid thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 23°C or below. This positioning reflects trader focus on potential cooling from regional monsoon dynamics and heightened typhoon activity, as China's National Climate Center anticipates above-average cyclone formation in the Northwest Pacific during July. Such systems can enhance rainfall, reduce daytime heating, and advect cooler maritime air, occasionally driving overnight lows below the typical 25–28°C climatological range. Model consensus and recent storm developments introduce uncertainty around exact minima, with resolution hinging on official observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 19. Juli?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 19. Juli?
26°C 100.0%
23°C oder darunter <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$78,921 Vol.
$78,921 Vol.
19. Juli 2026
23°C oder darunter
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Ja
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C oder höher
Nein
26°C 100.0%
23°C oder darunter <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$78,921 Vol.
$78,921 Vol.
19. Juli 2026
23°C oder darunter
$7,616 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$5,348 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$2,503 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$4,738 Vol.
Ja
27°C
$15,486 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$35,703 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$3,355 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$854 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$1,071 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$1,123 Vol.
Nein
33°C oder höher
$1,123 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai show a minimum temperature near 27°C on July 19 amid thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 23°C or below. This positioning reflects trader focus on potential cooling from regional monsoon dynamics and heightened typhoon activity, as China's National Climate Center anticipates above-average cyclone formation in the Northwest Pacific during July. Such systems can enhance rainfall, reduce daytime heating, and advect cooler maritime air, occasionally driving overnight lows below the typical 25–28°C climatological range. Model consensus and recent storm developments introduce uncertainty around exact minima, with resolution hinging on official observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$78,921Enddatum
19. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai show a minimum temperature near 27°C on July 19 amid thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 23°C or below. This positioning reflects trader focus on potential cooling from regional monsoon dynamics and heightened typhoon activity, as China's National Climate Center anticipates above-average cyclone formation in the Northwest Pacific during July. Such systems can enhance rainfall, reduce daytime heating, and advect cooler maritime air, occasionally driving overnight lows below the typical 25–28°C climatological range. Model consensus and recent storm developments introduce uncertainty around exact minima, with resolution hinging on official observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$78,921Enddatum
19. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecasts for Shanghai show a minimum temperature near 27°C on July 19 amid thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 23°C or below. This positioning reflects trader focus on potential cooling from regional monsoon dynamics and heightened typhoon activity, as China's National Climate Center anticipates above-average cyclone formation in the Northwest Pacific during July. Such systems can enhance rainfall, reduce daytime heating, and advect cooler maritime air, occasionally driving overnight lows below the typical 25–28°C climatological range. Model consensus and recent storm developments introduce uncertainty around exact minima, with resolution hinging on official observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen