Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 23. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 23. Juni?
22°C 100.0%
17°C oder weniger <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$26,890 Vol.
$26,890 Vol.
23. Juni 2026
17°C oder weniger
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Ja
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C oder höher
Nein
22°C 100.0%
17°C oder weniger <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$26,890 Vol.
$26,890 Vol.
23. Juni 2026
17°C oder weniger
$372 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$746 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$774 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$969 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$3,554 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$9,036 Vol.
Ja
23°C
$7,019 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$2,771 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$579 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$715 Vol.
Nein
27°C oder höher
$353 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$26,890Enddatum
23. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$26,890Enddatum
23. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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