Forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and regional sources points to an overnight low near 20–21°C for Shanghai on June 26, aligning with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–22°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture from the East Asian monsoon, and any weak frontal passages that could limit temperature drops. Late-June climatology shows typical minima of 20–23°C, with deviations driven by wind speed and urban heat-island effects. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from ensemble spread in short-range guidance ahead of the final 48-hour model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 26. Juni?
21°C 100.0%
15°C oder darunter <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$24,683 Vol.
$24,683 Vol.
15°C oder darunter
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Nein
21°C 100.0%
15°C oder darunter <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$24,683 Vol.
$24,683 Vol.
15°C oder darunter
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and regional sources points to an overnight low near 20–21°C for Shanghai on June 26, aligning with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–22°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture from the East Asian monsoon, and any weak frontal passages that could limit temperature drops. Late-June climatology shows typical minima of 20–23°C, with deviations driven by wind speed and urban heat-island effects. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty from ensemble spread in short-range guidance ahead of the final 48-hour model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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