Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 3. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 3. Mai?
15°C 100.0%
11°C oder weniger <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$19,371 Vol.
$19,371 Vol.
3. Mai 2026
11°C oder weniger
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Ja
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C oder höher
Nein
15°C 100.0%
11°C oder weniger <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$19,371 Vol.
$19,371 Vol.
3. Mai 2026
11°C oder weniger
$1,804 Vol.
Nein
12°C
$1,990 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$2,147 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$846 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$1,331 Vol.
Ja
16°C
$349 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$740 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$8,609 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$217 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$388 Vol.
Nein
21°C oder höher
$950 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$19,371Enddatum
3. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,371Enddatum
3. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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