Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and 30% precipitation chance, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 20–21°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer tsuyu conditions moderating nocturnal cooling through elevated humidity and cloud cover, consistent with climatological normals near 19°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with traders incorporating historical June low ranges of 18–22°C and limited upside risk from any clearing skies that could allow slightly cooler readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 19. Juni?
21°C 100.0%
16°C oder darunter <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$14,584 Vol.
$14,584 Vol.
16°C oder darunter
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C oder höher
Nein
21°C 100.0%
16°C oder darunter <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$14,584 Vol.
$14,584 Vol.
16°C oder darunter
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and 30% precipitation chance, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 20–21°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer tsuyu conditions moderating nocturnal cooling through elevated humidity and cloud cover, consistent with climatological normals near 19°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with traders incorporating historical June low ranges of 18–22°C and limited upside risk from any clearing skies that could allow slightly cooler readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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