Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts project an overnight low of 14–16°C for Tokyo on May 24, closely matching the historical May climatology of roughly 15°C. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable westerly flow and absence of significant cold-air advection, support this range, with model consensus showing minimal spread. Trader positioning at 100% for 15°C reflects this alignment between official guidance and typical seasonal baselines. A late-arriving frontal system or rapid radiative cooling under clear skies could push readings toward 13°C or below, though such shifts remain outside the primary forecast envelope as of the latest model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$133,867 Vol.
$133,867 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$133,867 Vol.
$133,867 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts project an overnight low of 14–16°C for Tokyo on May 24, closely matching the historical May climatology of roughly 15°C. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable westerly flow and absence of significant cold-air advection, support this range, with model consensus showing minimal spread. Trader positioning at 100% for 15°C reflects this alignment between official guidance and typical seasonal baselines. A late-arriving frontal system or rapid radiative cooling under clear skies could push readings toward 13°C or below, though such shifts remain outside the primary forecast envelope as of the latest model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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