Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’s 9th congressional district, reflected in the 94% Democratic consensus on prediction markets. The seat carries a D+6 partisan voting index and ranks as the state’s least liberal district, yet it has remained solidly Democratic since redistricting, with Keating securing 56% in the prior general election. Limited Republican fundraising and a presumptive GOP nominee with modest visibility reinforce the lopsided trader assessment. A Democratic primary contest between Keating and challenger Craig Swallow on September 1, 2026, could introduce modest uncertainty, while a late Republican surge or unusually high turnout among conservative voters on the Cape and South Shore remain the principal scenarios that might narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMA-09 Wahlsieger
MA-09 Wahlsieger
$18,615 Vol.
$18,615 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$18,615 Vol.
$18,615 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$6,824 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$11,792 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’s 9th congressional district, reflected in the 94% Democratic consensus on prediction markets. The seat carries a D+6 partisan voting index and ranks as the state’s least liberal district, yet it has remained solidly Democratic since redistricting, with Keating securing 56% in the prior general election. Limited Republican fundraising and a presumptive GOP nominee with modest visibility reinforce the lopsided trader assessment. A Democratic primary contest between Keating and challenger Craig Swallow on September 1, 2026, could introduce modest uncertainty, while a late Republican surge or unusually high turnout among conservative voters on the Cape and South Shore remain the principal scenarios that might narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$18,615Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’s 9th congressional district, reflected in the 94% Democratic consensus on prediction markets. The seat carries a D+6 partisan voting index and ranks as the state’s least liberal district, yet it has remained solidly Democratic since redistricting, with Keating securing 56% in the prior general election. Limited Republican fundraising and a presumptive GOP nominee with modest visibility reinforce the lopsided trader assessment. A Democratic primary contest between Keating and challenger Craig Swallow on September 1, 2026, could introduce modest uncertainty, while a late Republican surge or unusually high turnout among conservative voters on the Cape and South Shore remain the principal scenarios that might narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,615Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’s 9th congressional district, reflected in the 94% Democratic consensus on prediction markets. The seat carries a D+6 partisan voting index and ranks as the state’s least liberal district, yet it has remained solidly Democratic since redistricting, with Keating securing 56% in the prior general election. Limited Republican fundraising and a presumptive GOP nominee with modest visibility reinforce the lopsided trader assessment. A Democratic primary contest between Keating and challenger Craig Swallow on September 1, 2026, could introduce modest uncertainty, while a late Republican surge or unusually high turnout among conservative voters on the Cape and South Shore remain the principal scenarios that might narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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