Marta Kostyuk's straight-sets 6-3, 7-5 victory over Mirra Andreeva in the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open women's singles final on May 2 has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability for her as champion, securing her maiden WTA 1000 title on clay at La Caja Magica. Early upsets eliminated top seeds including Aryna Sabalenka, Elena Rybakina, Coco Gauff, and Iga Swiatek, paving the way for the 26th-seeded Kostyuk—who rallied past Anastasia Potapova 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 in the semifinals—and ninth-seeded Andreeva, who advanced after holding off Hailey Baptiste. Kostyuk's superior clay-court form and resilience in the decider drove the market's dominant positioning, with official results leaving scant room for challenges absent disputes or appeals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMarta Kostyuk 100.0%
Talia Gibson 1.0%
Oksana Selekhmeteva 1.0%
Ekaterina Alexandrova <1%
$52,388 Vol.
$52,388 Vol.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Nein
Mirra Andreeva
Nein
Hailey Baptiste
Nein
Belinda Bencic
Nein
Anna Bondar
Nein
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Nein
Sorana Cîrstea
Nein
Jaqueline Cristian
Nein
Leylah Fernandez
Nein
Coco Gauff
Nein
Viktorija Golubic
Nein
Iva Jovic
Nein
Sofia Kenin
Nein
Ashlyn Krueger
Nein
Eva Lys
Nein
Robin Montgomery
Nein
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Nein
Camila Osorio
Nein
Jasmine Paolini
Nein
Jessica Pegula
Nein
Yulia Putintseva
Nein
Kaitlin Quevedo
Nein
Emma Raducanu
Nein
Liudmila Samsonova
Nein
Solana Sierra
Nein
Zeynep Sonmez
Nein
Peyton Stearns
Nein
Elina Svitolina
Nein
Moyuka Uchijima
Nein
Dalma Galfi
Nein
Tyra Caterina Grant
Nein
Anhelina Kalinina
Nein
Anastasia Pawljutschenkowa
Nein
Irina-Camelia Begu
Nein
Kimberly Birrell
Nein
Katie Boulter
Nein
Marie Bouzková
Nein
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Nein
Alexandra Eala
Nein
Magdalena Frech
Nein
Talia Gibson
Nein
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Nein
Anna Kalinskaya
Nein
Daria Kasatkina
Nein
Madison Keys
Nein
Ann Li
Nein
Elise Mertens
Nein
Linda Noskova
Nein
Naomi Osaka
Nein
Jelena Ostapenko
Nein
Karolina Pliskova
Nein
Kamilla Rakhimova
Nein
Elena Rybakina
Nein
Maria Sakkari
Nein
Laura Siegemund
Nein
Katerina Siniaková
Nein
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Nein
Iga Swiatek
Nein
Ajla Tomljanovic
Nein
Tereza Valentova
Nein
Xinyu Wang
Nein
Venus Williams
Nein
Alina Charaeva
Nein
Leolia Jeanjean
Nein
Sinja Kraus
Nein
Daria Snigur
Nein
Amanda Anisimova
Nein
Paula Badosa
Nein
Julia Grabher
Nein
Marta Kostyuk
Ja
Petra Marcinko
Nein
Victoria Mboko
Nein
Caty McNally
Nein
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Nein
Aryna Sabalenka
Nein
Diana Shnaider
Nein
Janice Tjen
Nein
Shuai Zhang
Nein
Emiliana Arango
Nein
Elvina Kalieva
Nein
Lois Boisson
Nein
Cristina Bucsa
Nein
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Nein
Elsa Jacquemot
Nein
Magda Linette
Nein
Tatjana Maria
Nein
Carlota Martínez Cirez
Nein
Antonia Ruzic
Nein
Laura Samson
Nein
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Nein
Clara Tauson
Nein
Taylor Townsend
Nein
Dayana Yastremska
Nein
Anastasia Zakharova
Nein
Qinwen Zheng
Nein
Alycia Parks
Nein
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Nein
Simona Waltert
Nein
Panna Udvardy
Nein
Marta Kostyuk 100.0%
Talia Gibson 1.0%
Oksana Selekhmeteva 1.0%
Ekaterina Alexandrova <1%
$52,388 Vol.
$52,388 Vol.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Nein
Mirra Andreeva
Nein
Hailey Baptiste
Nein
Belinda Bencic
Nein
Anna Bondar
Nein
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Nein
Sorana Cîrstea
Nein
Jaqueline Cristian
Nein
Leylah Fernandez
Nein
Coco Gauff
Nein
Viktorija Golubic
Nein
Iva Jovic
Nein
Sofia Kenin
Nein
Ashlyn Krueger
Nein
Eva Lys
Nein
Robin Montgomery
Nein
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Nein
Camila Osorio
Nein
Jasmine Paolini
Nein
Jessica Pegula
Nein
Yulia Putintseva
Nein
Kaitlin Quevedo
Nein
Emma Raducanu
Nein
Liudmila Samsonova
Nein
Solana Sierra
Nein
Zeynep Sonmez
Nein
Peyton Stearns
Nein
Elina Svitolina
Nein
Moyuka Uchijima
Nein
Dalma Galfi
Nein
Tyra Caterina Grant
Nein
Anhelina Kalinina
Nein
Anastasia Pawljutschenkowa
Nein
Irina-Camelia Begu
Nein
Kimberly Birrell
Nein
Katie Boulter
Nein
Marie Bouzková
Nein
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Nein
Alexandra Eala
Nein
Magdalena Frech
Nein
Talia Gibson
Nein
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Nein
Anna Kalinskaya
Nein
Daria Kasatkina
Nein
Madison Keys
Nein
Ann Li
Nein
Elise Mertens
Nein
Linda Noskova
Nein
Naomi Osaka
Nein
Jelena Ostapenko
Nein
Karolina Pliskova
Nein
Kamilla Rakhimova
Nein
Elena Rybakina
Nein
Maria Sakkari
Nein
Laura Siegemund
Nein
Katerina Siniaková
Nein
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Nein
Iga Swiatek
Nein
Ajla Tomljanovic
Nein
Tereza Valentova
Nein
Xinyu Wang
Nein
Venus Williams
Nein
Alina Charaeva
Nein
Leolia Jeanjean
Nein
Sinja Kraus
Nein
Daria Snigur
Nein
Amanda Anisimova
Nein
Paula Badosa
Nein
Julia Grabher
Nein
Marta Kostyuk
Ja
Petra Marcinko
Nein
Victoria Mboko
Nein
Caty McNally
Nein
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Nein
Aryna Sabalenka
Nein
Diana Shnaider
Nein
Janice Tjen
Nein
Shuai Zhang
Nein
Emiliana Arango
Nein
Elvina Kalieva
Nein
Lois Boisson
Nein
Cristina Bucsa
Nein
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Nein
Elsa Jacquemot
Nein
Magda Linette
Nein
Tatjana Maria
Nein
Carlota Martínez Cirez
Nein
Antonia Ruzic
Nein
Laura Samson
Nein
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Nein
Clara Tauson
Nein
Taylor Townsend
Nein
Dayana Yastremska
Nein
Anastasia Zakharova
Nein
Qinwen Zheng
Nein
Alycia Parks
Nein
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Nein
Simona Waltert
Nein
Panna Udvardy
Nein
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 20, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Marta Kostyuk's straight-sets 6-3, 7-5 victory over Mirra Andreeva in the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open women's singles final on May 2 has solidified trader consensus at 100% implied probability for her as champion, securing her maiden WTA 1000 title on clay at La Caja Magica. Early upsets eliminated top seeds including Aryna Sabalenka, Elena Rybakina, Coco Gauff, and Iga Swiatek, paving the way for the 26th-seeded Kostyuk—who rallied past Anastasia Potapova 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 in the semifinals—and ninth-seeded Andreeva, who advanced after holding off Hailey Baptiste. Kostyuk's superior clay-court form and resilience in the decider drove the market's dominant positioning, with official results leaving scant room for challenges absent disputes or appeals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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