The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s 2026 Senate race reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, including incumbents Eliziane Gama (PT) and Weverton Rocha (PDT) alongside high-profile challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO). Recent Ippi polling released in mid-August shows Sarney leading while four names remain within the margin of error for the second vacancy, driven by voter indecision and regional alliances. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in the ballot and sharpening competition for the remaining seat. Trader consensus prices these contenders closely because modest shifts in turnout, last-minute endorsements, or state-level coalition deals could reorder the lower rankings before October.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCidônio Gonçalves 27%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 27%
Roseana Sarney 27%
Enilton Rodrigues 26%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Cidônio Gonçalves
27%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
27%
Roseana Sarney
27%
Enilton Rodrigues
26%
Weverton Rocha
26%
Wilson Leite
26%
Lahesio Bonfim
26%
Raimundo Moreira
24%
Fufuca
24%
Simplício Araújo
23%
Eliziane Gama
21%
Cidônio Gonçalves 27%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 27%
Roseana Sarney 27%
Enilton Rodrigues 26%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Cidônio Gonçalves
$0 Vol.
27%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$0 Vol.
27%
Roseana Sarney
$0 Vol.
27%
Enilton Rodrigues
$0 Vol.
26%
Weverton Rocha
$0 Vol.
26%
Wilson Leite
$0 Vol.
26%
Lahesio Bonfim
$0 Vol.
26%
Raimundo Moreira
$0 Vol.
24%
Fufuca
$0 Vol.
24%
Simplício Araújo
$0 Vol.
23%
Eliziane Gama
$0 Vol.
21%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s 2026 Senate race reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, including incumbents Eliziane Gama (PT) and Weverton Rocha (PDT) alongside high-profile challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO). Recent Ippi polling released in mid-August shows Sarney leading while four names remain within the margin of error for the second vacancy, driven by voter indecision and regional alliances. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in the ballot and sharpening competition for the remaining seat. Trader consensus prices these contenders closely because modest shifts in turnout, last-minute endorsements, or state-level coalition deals could reorder the lower rankings before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s 2026 Senate race reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, including incumbents Eliziane Gama (PT) and Weverton Rocha (PDT) alongside high-profile challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO). Recent Ippi polling released in mid-August shows Sarney leading while four names remain within the margin of error for the second vacancy, driven by voter indecision and regional alliances. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in the ballot and sharpening competition for the remaining seat. Trader consensus prices these contenders closely because modest shifts in turnout, last-minute endorsements, or state-level coalition deals could reorder the lower rankings before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s 2026 Senate race reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, including incumbents Eliziane Gama (PT) and Weverton Rocha (PDT) alongside high-profile challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO). Recent Ippi polling released in mid-August shows Sarney leading while four names remain within the margin of error for the second vacancy, driven by voter indecision and regional alliances. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in the ballot and sharpening competition for the remaining seat. Trader consensus prices these contenders closely because modest shifts in turnout, last-minute endorsements, or state-level coalition deals could reorder the lower rankings before October.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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