Recent tracking for Disney’s live-action Moana, opening July 10, shows downward revisions amid soft pre-sales and a crowded summer slate that includes Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters. Industry forecasts now cluster between $60 million and $85 million domestically, with Box Office Theory pinpointing around $62 million after earlier optimism faded. Momentum from the billion-dollar Moana 2 sequel provides some family audience tailwinds, yet concerns over remake fatigue and competition have kept trader consensus balanced across the provided buckets. Key swing factors include final-week marketing performance and any late surge in family bookings before the wide release locks in the opening weekend result.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office
39-44m 100.0%
<29 Mio. <1%
29-34 Mio. <1%
34-39 Mio. <1%
$151,247 Vol.
$151,247 Vol.
13. Juli 2026
<29 Mio.
Nein
29-34 Mio.
Nein
34-39 Mio.
Nein
39-44m
Yes
>44 Mio.
Nein
39-44m 100.0%
<29 Mio. <1%
29-34 Mio. <1%
34-39 Mio. <1%
$151,247 Vol.
$151,247 Vol.
13. Juli 2026
<29 Mio.
$14,549 Vol.
Nein
29-34 Mio.
$22,179 Vol.
Nein
34-39 Mio.
$26,117 Vol.
Nein
39-44m
$24,814 Vol.
Yes
>44 Mio.
$63,588 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent tracking for Disney’s live-action Moana, opening July 10, shows downward revisions amid soft pre-sales and a crowded summer slate that includes Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters. Industry forecasts now cluster between $60 million and $85 million domestically, with Box Office Theory pinpointing around $62 million after earlier optimism faded. Momentum from the billion-dollar Moana 2 sequel provides some family audience tailwinds, yet concerns over remake fatigue and competition have kept trader consensus balanced across the provided buckets. Key swing factors include final-week marketing performance and any late surge in family bookings before the wide release locks in the opening weekend result.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volumen
$151,247Enddatum
13. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent tracking for Disney’s live-action Moana, opening July 10, shows downward revisions amid soft pre-sales and a crowded summer slate that includes Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters. Industry forecasts now cluster between $60 million and $85 million domestically, with Box Office Theory pinpointing around $62 million after earlier optimism faded. Momentum from the billion-dollar Moana 2 sequel provides some family audience tailwinds, yet concerns over remake fatigue and competition have kept trader consensus balanced across the provided buckets. Key swing factors include final-week marketing performance and any late surge in family bookings before the wide release locks in the opening weekend result.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$151,247Enddatum
13. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent tracking for Disney’s live-action Moana, opening July 10, shows downward revisions amid soft pre-sales and a crowded summer slate that includes Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters. Industry forecasts now cluster between $60 million and $85 million domestically, with Box Office Theory pinpointing around $62 million after earlier optimism faded. Momentum from the billion-dollar Moana 2 sequel provides some family audience tailwinds, yet concerns over remake fatigue and competition have kept trader consensus balanced across the provided buckets. Key swing factors include final-week marketing performance and any late surge in family bookings before the wide release locks in the opening weekend result.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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