Microsoft's fiscal fourth-quarter earnings release on July 30, 2026, delivered an 18% revenue increase to $90 billion and accelerated Azure growth, beating consensus and triggering an immediate 7-8% after-hours share-price surge that lifted the stock into the upper $400s. This strong performance, driven by Microsoft Cloud momentum and AI demand, underpins the tightly clustered implied probabilities across price buckets from below $420 to above $510. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing uncertainty from elevated valuations, potential profit-taking after the rally, and sensitivity to broader equity-market volatility or follow-through guidance commentary. With the resolution just days away at the close of the August 3-7 trading week, near-term catalysts remain limited to macroeconomic data and sector rotation, keeping outcomes competitive.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$420-$430 48%
$450-$460 48%
$480-$490 48%
$490-$500 48%
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
<$420
43%
$420-$430
48%
$430-$440
43%
$440-$450
44%
$450-$460
48%
$460-$470
42%
$470-$480
44%
$480-$490
48%
$490-$500
48%
$500-$510
44%
>$510
47%
$420-$430 48%
$450-$460 48%
$480-$490 48%
$490-$500 48%
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
<$420
$0 Vol.
43%
$420-$430
$0 Vol.
48%
$430-$440
$0 Vol.
43%
$440-$450
$0 Vol.
44%
$450-$460
$0 Vol.
48%
$460-$470
$0 Vol.
42%
$470-$480
$0 Vol.
44%
$480-$490
$0 Vol.
48%
$490-$500
$0 Vol.
48%
$500-$510
$0 Vol.
44%
>$510
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft's fiscal fourth-quarter earnings release on July 30, 2026, delivered an 18% revenue increase to $90 billion and accelerated Azure growth, beating consensus and triggering an immediate 7-8% after-hours share-price surge that lifted the stock into the upper $400s. This strong performance, driven by Microsoft Cloud momentum and AI demand, underpins the tightly clustered implied probabilities across price buckets from below $420 to above $510. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing uncertainty from elevated valuations, potential profit-taking after the rally, and sensitivity to broader equity-market volatility or follow-through guidance commentary. With the resolution just days away at the close of the August 3-7 trading week, near-term catalysts remain limited to macroeconomic data and sector rotation, keeping outcomes competitive.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft's fiscal fourth-quarter earnings release on July 30, 2026, delivered an 18% revenue increase to $90 billion and accelerated Azure growth, beating consensus and triggering an immediate 7-8% after-hours share-price surge that lifted the stock into the upper $400s. This strong performance, driven by Microsoft Cloud momentum and AI demand, underpins the tightly clustered implied probabilities across price buckets from below $420 to above $510. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing uncertainty from elevated valuations, potential profit-taking after the rally, and sensitivity to broader equity-market volatility or follow-through guidance commentary. With the resolution just days away at the close of the August 3-7 trading week, near-term catalysts remain limited to macroeconomic data and sector rotation, keeping outcomes competitive.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft's fiscal fourth-quarter earnings release on July 30, 2026, delivered an 18% revenue increase to $90 billion and accelerated Azure growth, beating consensus and triggering an immediate 7-8% after-hours share-price surge that lifted the stock into the upper $400s. This strong performance, driven by Microsoft Cloud momentum and AI demand, underpins the tightly clustered implied probabilities across price buckets from below $420 to above $510. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing uncertainty from elevated valuations, potential profit-taking after the rally, and sensitivity to broader equity-market volatility or follow-through guidance commentary. With the resolution just days away at the close of the August 3-7 trading week, near-term catalysts remain limited to macroeconomic data and sector rotation, keeping outcomes competitive.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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