Microsoft shares currently trade near 422 following the company's April 29 fiscal third-quarter report, where revenue rose 18 percent to 82.9 billion dollars and adjusted earnings per share reached 4.27, exceeding consensus estimates. Strong Azure growth and an AI annual recurring revenue run rate above 37 billion dollars support expectations for the closing price to settle between 410 and 440, yet elevated 2026 capital-expenditure guidance of 190 billion dollars has introduced volatility and tempered enthusiasm. Traders appear to weigh these fundamentals against broader tech-sector rotation and macroeconomic uncertainty, producing tightly clustered implied probabilities across the 410-440 range with no single outcome exceeding 47 percent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert>$450 20%
$410-$420 19%
$420-$430 19%
$400-$410 17%
NEU
NEU
22. Mai 2026
<$360
8%
$360-$370
10%
$370-$380
9%
$380-$390
11%
$390-$400
13%
$400-$410
17%
$410-$420
19%
$420-$430
19%
$430-$440
16%
$440-$450
13%
>$450
20%
>$450 20%
$410-$420 19%
$420-$430 19%
$400-$410 17%
NEU
NEU
22. Mai 2026
<$360
$0 Vol.
8%
$360-$370
$0 Vol.
10%
$370-$380
$0 Vol.
9%
$380-$390
$0 Vol.
11%
$390-$400
$0 Vol.
13%
$400-$410
$0 Vol.
17%
$410-$420
$0 Vol.
19%
$420-$430
$0 Vol.
19%
$430-$440
$0 Vol.
16%
$440-$450
$0 Vol.
13%
>$450
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft shares currently trade near 422 following the company's April 29 fiscal third-quarter report, where revenue rose 18 percent to 82.9 billion dollars and adjusted earnings per share reached 4.27, exceeding consensus estimates. Strong Azure growth and an AI annual recurring revenue run rate above 37 billion dollars support expectations for the closing price to settle between 410 and 440, yet elevated 2026 capital-expenditure guidance of 190 billion dollars has introduced volatility and tempered enthusiasm. Traders appear to weigh these fundamentals against broader tech-sector rotation and macroeconomic uncertainty, producing tightly clustered implied probabilities across the 410-440 range with no single outcome exceeding 47 percent.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
22. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft shares currently trade near 422 following the company's April 29 fiscal third-quarter report, where revenue rose 18 percent to 82.9 billion dollars and adjusted earnings per share reached 4.27, exceeding consensus estimates. Strong Azure growth and an AI annual recurring revenue run rate above 37 billion dollars support expectations for the closing price to settle between 410 and 440, yet elevated 2026 capital-expenditure guidance of 190 billion dollars has introduced volatility and tempered enthusiasm. Traders appear to weigh these fundamentals against broader tech-sector rotation and macroeconomic uncertainty, producing tightly clustered implied probabilities across the 410-440 range with no single outcome exceeding 47 percent.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$0Enddatum
22. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft shares currently trade near 422 following the company's April 29 fiscal third-quarter report, where revenue rose 18 percent to 82.9 billion dollars and adjusted earnings per share reached 4.27, exceeding consensus estimates. Strong Azure growth and an AI annual recurring revenue run rate above 37 billion dollars support expectations for the closing price to settle between 410 and 440, yet elevated 2026 capital-expenditure guidance of 190 billion dollars has introduced volatility and tempered enthusiasm. Traders appear to weigh these fundamentals against broader tech-sector rotation and macroeconomic uncertainty, producing tightly clustered implied probabilities across the 410-440 range with no single outcome exceeding 47 percent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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