Trader consensus on Polymarket's next Real Madrid manager market favors Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to retain the role into next season, bolstered by his internal club backing, player support from Vinícius Júnior, and Castilla success despite a trophyless 2025/26 campaign trajectory. Recent La Liga setbacks—including a 1-1 draw at Real Betis and Mallorca defeat—have seen his win rate dip to 60.9%, the lowest among recent coaches, fueling Spanish media criticism and sacking rumors after Champions League elimination by Bayern Munich. José Mourinho follows at 31%, gaining traction from reports of his Benfica form, past Bernabéu triumphs, and readiness for a return, while Enzo Maresca (18.8%), Mauricio Pochettino (15.7%), and Jürgen Klopp (15.5%) reflect availability and stylistic fits amid Real Madrid's second-place La Liga standing, nine points behind Barcelona.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJose Mourinho 31%
Mauricio Pochettino 22.9%
Jürgen Klopp 17%
Unai Emery 11%
$34,794 Vol.
$34,794 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
31%
Mauricio Pochettino
22%
Jürgen Klopp
15%
Unai Emery
11%
Massimiliano Allegri
6%
Enzo Maresca
20%
Luis Enrique
5%
Zinedine Zidane
5%
Didier Deschamps
5%
Mikel Arteta
4%
Andoni Iraola
3%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
<1%
Jose Mourinho 31%
Mauricio Pochettino 22.9%
Jürgen Klopp 17%
Unai Emery 11%
$34,794 Vol.
$34,794 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
31%
Mauricio Pochettino
22%
Jürgen Klopp
15%
Unai Emery
11%
Massimiliano Allegri
6%
Enzo Maresca
20%
Luis Enrique
5%
Zinedine Zidane
5%
Didier Deschamps
5%
Mikel Arteta
4%
Andoni Iraola
3%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket's next Real Madrid manager market favors Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to retain the role into next season, bolstered by his internal club backing, player support from Vinícius Júnior, and Castilla success despite a trophyless 2025/26 campaign trajectory. Recent La Liga setbacks—including a 1-1 draw at Real Betis and Mallorca defeat—have seen his win rate dip to 60.9%, the lowest among recent coaches, fueling Spanish media criticism and sacking rumors after Champions League elimination by Bayern Munich. José Mourinho follows at 31%, gaining traction from reports of his Benfica form, past Bernabéu triumphs, and readiness for a return, while Enzo Maresca (18.8%), Mauricio Pochettino (15.7%), and Jürgen Klopp (15.5%) reflect availability and stylistic fits amid Real Madrid's second-place La Liga standing, nine points behind Barcelona.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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