Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects acute uncertainty for Netflix (NFLX) share price at the week of April 6 close, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 48-49.5% across bins and $50-$60 alongside $120-$130 marginally leading both at 49.5%, signaling a closely contested outlook amid high volatility expectations. Current NFLX trading near $98 follows a 3% intraday gain despite fresh headwinds from an Italian court ruling invalidating price-hike clauses, potentially triggering mass refunds and eroding revenue amid recent March 25 subscription increases. Competitive dynamics pit Netflix's subscriber momentum from password crackdowns and live sports entry against margin squeezes from heavier 2026 content spending and rivals like Disney+ gaining ad-tier traction. Analyst price targets averaging $113 underscore balanced sentiment, with Q1 earnings on April 16 as the key post-resolution catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$90-$100 62%
$100-$110 39%
<$50 20%
>$140 19%
NEU
NEU
10. Apr. 2026
<$50
20%
$50-$60
11%
$60-$70
9%
$70-$80
11%
$80-$90
13%
$90-$100
62%
$100-$110
39%
$110-$120
8%
$120-$130
11%
$130-$140
11%
>$140
19%
$90-$100 62%
$100-$110 39%
<$50 20%
>$140 19%
NEU
NEU
10. Apr. 2026
<$50
$25 Vol.
20%
$50-$60
$0 Vol.
11%
$60-$70
$0 Vol.
9%
$70-$80
$0 Vol.
11%
$80-$90
$0 Vol.
13%
$90-$100
$0 Vol.
62%
$100-$110
$0 Vol.
39%
$110-$120
$0 Vol.
8%
$120-$130
$0 Vol.
11%
$130-$140
$0 Vol.
11%
>$140
$25 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects acute uncertainty for Netflix (NFLX) share price at the week of April 6 close, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 48-49.5% across bins and $50-$60 alongside $120-$130 marginally leading both at 49.5%, signaling a closely contested outlook amid high volatility expectations. Current NFLX trading near $98 follows a 3% intraday gain despite fresh headwinds from an Italian court ruling invalidating price-hike clauses, potentially triggering mass refunds and eroding revenue amid recent March 25 subscription increases. Competitive dynamics pit Netflix's subscriber momentum from password crackdowns and live sports entry against margin squeezes from heavier 2026 content spending and rivals like Disney+ gaining ad-tier traction. Analyst price targets averaging $113 underscore balanced sentiment, with Q1 earnings on April 16 as the key post-resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Apr 3, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volumen
$50Enddatum
10. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 6:17 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects acute uncertainty for Netflix (NFLX) share price at the week of April 6 close, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 48-49.5% across bins and $50-$60 alongside $120-$130 marginally leading both at 49.5%, signaling a closely contested outlook amid high volatility expectations. Current NFLX trading near $98 follows a 3% intraday gain despite fresh headwinds from an Italian court ruling invalidating price-hike clauses, potentially triggering mass refunds and eroding revenue amid recent March 25 subscription increases. Competitive dynamics pit Netflix's subscriber momentum from password crackdowns and live sports entry against margin squeezes from heavier 2026 content spending and rivals like Disney+ gaining ad-tier traction. Analyst price targets averaging $113 underscore balanced sentiment, with Q1 earnings on April 16 as the key post-resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$50Enddatum
10. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 6:17 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects acute uncertainty for Netflix (NFLX) share price at the week of April 6 close, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 48-49.5% across bins and $50-$60 alongside $120-$130 marginally leading both at 49.5%, signaling a closely contested outlook amid high volatility expectations. Current NFLX trading near $98 follows a 3% intraday gain despite fresh headwinds from an Italian court ruling invalidating price-hike clauses, potentially triggering mass refunds and eroding revenue amid recent March 25 subscription increases. Competitive dynamics pit Netflix's subscriber momentum from password crackdowns and live sports entry against margin squeezes from heavier 2026 content spending and rivals like Disney+ gaining ad-tier traction. Analyst price targets averaging $113 underscore balanced sentiment, with Q1 earnings on April 16 as the key post-resolution catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen