Netflix (NFLX) shares tumbled 9.7% to a $97.31 close on April 17 after Q1 2026 earnings beat expectations with $12.25 billion revenue (up 16% year-over-year) and $1.23 EPS, but soft Q2 guidance—$12.57 billion revenue and $0.78 EPS below consensus—and co-founder Reed Hastings' June board exit announcement eroded sentiment. Polymarket's tightly matched implied probabilities, led by $100-$110 (49%) over $120-$130 (45.5%), capture trader debate on rebound prospects versus further pressure, with $80-$90 and $90-$100 also at 45%. Netflix's edge stems from ad revenue doubling to $3 billion, 325 million subscribers, and $20 billion content investment outpacing rivals like Disney in profitability and global scale; key swings hinge on market recovery and April releases like Beef Season 2.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$100-$110 49%
$90-$100 46%
$80-$90 45%
$110-$120 9.8%
NEU
NEU
24. Apr. 2026
<$60
1%
$60-$70
2%
$70-$80
1%
$80-$90
45%
$90-$100
46%
$100-$110
49%
$110-$120
10%
$120-$130
2%
$130-$140
2%
$140-$150
2%
>$150
1%
$100-$110 49%
$90-$100 46%
$80-$90 45%
$110-$120 9.8%
NEU
NEU
24. Apr. 2026
<$60
$386 Vol.
1%
$60-$70
$289 Vol.
2%
$70-$80
$8 Vol.
1%
$80-$90
$0 Vol.
45%
$90-$100
$0 Vol.
46%
$100-$110
$0 Vol.
49%
$110-$120
$34 Vol.
10%
$120-$130
$0 Vol.
2%
$130-$140
$37 Vol.
2%
$140-$150
$36 Vol.
2%
>$150
$105 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Netflix (NFLX) shares tumbled 9.7% to a $97.31 close on April 17 after Q1 2026 earnings beat expectations with $12.25 billion revenue (up 16% year-over-year) and $1.23 EPS, but soft Q2 guidance—$12.57 billion revenue and $0.78 EPS below consensus—and co-founder Reed Hastings' June board exit announcement eroded sentiment. Polymarket's tightly matched implied probabilities, led by $100-$110 (49%) over $120-$130 (45.5%), capture trader debate on rebound prospects versus further pressure, with $80-$90 and $90-$100 also at 45%. Netflix's edge stems from ad revenue doubling to $3 billion, 325 million subscribers, and $20 billion content investment outpacing rivals like Disney in profitability and global scale; key swings hinge on market recovery and April releases like Beef Season 2.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volumen
$895Enddatum
24. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 17, 2026, 6:23 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Netflix (NFLX) shares tumbled 9.7% to a $97.31 close on April 17 after Q1 2026 earnings beat expectations with $12.25 billion revenue (up 16% year-over-year) and $1.23 EPS, but soft Q2 guidance—$12.57 billion revenue and $0.78 EPS below consensus—and co-founder Reed Hastings' June board exit announcement eroded sentiment. Polymarket's tightly matched implied probabilities, led by $100-$110 (49%) over $120-$130 (45.5%), capture trader debate on rebound prospects versus further pressure, with $80-$90 and $90-$100 also at 45%. Netflix's edge stems from ad revenue doubling to $3 billion, 325 million subscribers, and $20 billion content investment outpacing rivals like Disney in profitability and global scale; key swings hinge on market recovery and April releases like Beef Season 2.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$895Enddatum
24. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 17, 2026, 6:23 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Netflix (NFLX) shares tumbled 9.7% to a $97.31 close on April 17 after Q1 2026 earnings beat expectations with $12.25 billion revenue (up 16% year-over-year) and $1.23 EPS, but soft Q2 guidance—$12.57 billion revenue and $0.78 EPS below consensus—and co-founder Reed Hastings' June board exit announcement eroded sentiment. Polymarket's tightly matched implied probabilities, led by $100-$110 (49%) over $120-$130 (45.5%), capture trader debate on rebound prospects versus further pressure, with $80-$90 and $90-$100 also at 45%. Netflix's edge stems from ad revenue doubling to $3 billion, 325 million subscribers, and $20 billion content investment outpacing rivals like Disney in profitability and global scale; key swings hinge on market recovery and April releases like Beef Season 2.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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