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Politik·Deutschland

Oldenburger Bürgermeisterwahlsieger

icon for Oldenburger Bürgermeisterwahlsieger
Politik·Deutschland

Oldenburger Bürgermeisterwahlsieger

Ulf Prange 53%

Jascha Rohr 33%

Byanca Küßner 3.9%

Ralf Butzin 1.5%

Polymarket
NEU

Ulf Prange 53%

Jascha Rohr 33%

Byanca Küßner 3.9%

Ralf Butzin 1.5%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Ulf Prange

Ulf Prange

$1,151 Vol.

53%

icon for Jascha Rohr

Jascha Rohr

$1,252 Vol.

35%

icon for Byanca Küßner

Byanca Küßner

$356 Vol.

4%

icon for Ralf Butzin

Ralf Butzin

$396 Vol.

2%

icon for Holger Martin Wilkens

Holger Martin Wilkens

$414 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael Stille

Michael Stille

$528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sebastian Fröhlich

Sebastian Fröhlich

$478 Vol.

<1%

icon for Heike Boldt

Heike Boldt

$458 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yakup Castur

Yakup Castur

$447 Vol.

<1%

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange of the SPD holds a narrow edge in the Oldenburg mayoral race ahead of the September 13, 2026 direct election, while Jascha Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU, trails closely behind. Nine candidates were formally approved in July, but only the two frontrunners show meaningful support, leaving the contest effectively binary. Trader prices remain tight because no recent polling or major campaign events have produced clear separation, and the runoff threshold adds uncertainty if neither reaches an outright majority. An upcoming candidate forum on August 26 could shift momentum, along with any late endorsements, turnout signals, or policy contrasts on local issues such as housing, transport, and fiscal management. Minor-party candidates and independent bids register negligible probabilities given historical patterns in similar German municipal contests.

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volumen
$5,482
Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange of the SPD holds a narrow edge in the Oldenburg mayoral race ahead of the September 13, 2026 direct election, while Jascha Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU, trails closely behind. Nine candidates were formally approved in July, but only the two frontrunners show meaningful support, leaving the contest effectively binary. Trader prices remain tight because no recent polling or major campaign events have produced clear separation, and the runoff threshold adds uncertainty if neither reaches an outright majority. An upcoming candidate forum on August 26 could shift momentum, along with any late endorsements, turnout signals, or policy contrasts on local issues such as housing, transport, and fiscal management. Minor-party candidates and independent bids register negligible probabilities given historical patterns in similar German municipal contests.

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volumen
$5,482
Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.

Verwandte

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88%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Oldenburger Bürgermeisterwahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Ulf Prange" mit 53%, gefolgt von „Jascha Rohr" mit 35%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 53¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Oldenburger Bürgermeisterwahlsieger" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 24, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Oldenburger Bürgermeisterwahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Oldenburger Bürgermeisterwahlsieger" ist „Ulf Prange" mit 53%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Jascha Rohr" mit 35%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Oldenburger Bürgermeisterwahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.