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icon for Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Economy·BIP

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

icon for Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Economy·BIP

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Okt. 30

Okt. 30

1.3%+ 56%

0.7-0.9% 35%

1.0-1.2% 13%

≤0.0% <1%

Polymarket

$48,191 Vol.

1.3%+ 56%

0.7-0.9% 35%

1.0-1.2% 13%

≤0.0% <1%

Polymarket

$48,191 Vol.

≤0.0%

$2,105 Vol.

1%

0.1-0.3%

$2,229 Vol.

1%

0.4-0.6%

$1,286 Vol.

1%

0.7-0.9%

$8,442 Vol.

35%

1.0-1.2%

$25,213 Vol.

13%

1.3%+

$8,915 Vol.

56%

This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent upward revisions to Germany's 2026 GDP growth forecasts to 1.3% from institutions including the Kiel Institute and IMK reflect stronger-than-expected first-half performance, supported by fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure spending that contributes roughly 0.7 percentage points. Business sentiment has improved for several months amid rising orders, though Q3 faces temporary headwinds from low Rhine water levels expected to trim growth by about 0.1 percentage point and elevated energy prices tied to the Middle East conflict pushing inflation to 2.7%. The ECB's September 2026 rate hike to address inflation pressures above target underscores ongoing monetary tightening, while labor market data show unemployment near 6.3-6.5% with limited momentum. Trader consensus around the 1.3%+ outcome aligns with these revisions, tempered by risks from geopolitical factors and fading fiscal impulse later in the year.

This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$48,191
Enddatum
30. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent upward revisions to Germany's 2026 GDP growth forecasts to 1.3% from institutions including the Kiel Institute and IMK reflect stronger-than-expected first-half performance, supported by fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure spending that contributes roughly 0.7 percentage points. Business sentiment has improved for several months amid rising orders, though Q3 faces temporary headwinds from low Rhine water levels expected to trim growth by about 0.1 percentage point and elevated energy prices tied to the Middle East conflict pushing inflation to 2.7%. The ECB's September 2026 rate hike to address inflation pressures above target underscores ongoing monetary tightening, while labor market data show unemployment near 6.3-6.5% with limited momentum. Trader consensus around the 1.3%+ outcome aligns with these revisions, tempered by risks from geopolitical factors and fading fiscal impulse later in the year.

This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$48,191
Enddatum
30. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Wird das britische BIP-Wachstum im 3. Quartal 2026 zwischen 0,4 % und 0,5 % liegen?

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Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „1.3%+" mit 56%, gefolgt von „0.7-0.9%" mit 35%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 56¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 56% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $48.2K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 31, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?" ist „1.3%+" mit 56%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 56% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „0.7-0.9%" mit 35%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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