Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 is centered on the 0.8-1.1% annualized range at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting the ECB’s September 2026 staff projections of 0.2-0.3% quarter-on-quarter expansion after Q2’s revised 0.6% print. Stronger-than-expected second-quarter data, positive survey indicators, and carry-over effects supported the modest upward revision to 0.9% annual growth for 2026 overall, while the adjusted measure excluding Irish volatility points to underlying domestic demand near 1.2%. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have lifted headline HICP inflation toward 3.0% for the year and 3.6% in Q4, tempering consumer spending despite unemployment holding near 6.2%. Traders are weighting these countervailing forces—heathy Q2 momentum and resilient labor markets against persistent price pressures—into the current distribution ahead of the late-October Eurostat release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert0.8-1.1% 56%
1.2-1.5% 24.7%
0.4-0.7% 12.5%
0.0-0.3% 1.0%
$62,506 Vol.
$62,506 Vol.
30. Okt. 2026
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
1%
0.4-0.7%
13%
0.8-1.1%
56%
1.2-1.5%
25%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 56%
1.2-1.5% 24.7%
0.4-0.7% 12.5%
0.0-0.3% 1.0%
$62,506 Vol.
$62,506 Vol.
30. Okt. 2026
<0.0%
$1,680 Vol.
1%
0.0-0.3%
$1,521 Vol.
1%
0.4-0.7%
$9,945 Vol.
13%
0.8-1.1%
$42,750 Vol.
56%
1.2-1.5%
$3,582 Vol.
25%
1.6-1.9%
$1,649 Vol.
<1%
2.0%+
$1,379 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 is centered on the 0.8-1.1% annualized range at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting the ECB’s September 2026 staff projections of 0.2-0.3% quarter-on-quarter expansion after Q2’s revised 0.6% print. Stronger-than-expected second-quarter data, positive survey indicators, and carry-over effects supported the modest upward revision to 0.9% annual growth for 2026 overall, while the adjusted measure excluding Irish volatility points to underlying domestic demand near 1.2%. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have lifted headline HICP inflation toward 3.0% for the year and 3.6% in Q4, tempering consumer spending despite unemployment holding near 6.2%. Traders are weighting these countervailing forces—heathy Q2 momentum and resilient labor markets against persistent price pressures—into the current distribution ahead of the late-October Eurostat release.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volumen
$62,506Enddatum
30. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 is centered on the 0.8-1.1% annualized range at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting the ECB’s September 2026 staff projections of 0.2-0.3% quarter-on-quarter expansion after Q2’s revised 0.6% print. Stronger-than-expected second-quarter data, positive survey indicators, and carry-over effects supported the modest upward revision to 0.9% annual growth for 2026 overall, while the adjusted measure excluding Irish volatility points to underlying domestic demand near 1.2%. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have lifted headline HICP inflation toward 3.0% for the year and 3.6% in Q4, tempering consumer spending despite unemployment holding near 6.2%. Traders are weighting these countervailing forces—heathy Q2 momentum and resilient labor markets against persistent price pressures—into the current distribution ahead of the late-October Eurostat release.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$62,506Enddatum
30. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 is centered on the 0.8-1.1% annualized range at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting the ECB’s September 2026 staff projections of 0.2-0.3% quarter-on-quarter expansion after Q2’s revised 0.6% print. Stronger-than-expected second-quarter data, positive survey indicators, and carry-over effects supported the modest upward revision to 0.9% annual growth for 2026 overall, while the adjusted measure excluding Irish volatility points to underlying domestic demand near 1.2%. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have lifted headline HICP inflation toward 3.0% for the year and 3.6% in Q4, tempering consumer spending despite unemployment holding near 6.2%. Traders are weighting these countervailing forces—heathy Q2 momentum and resilient labor markets against persistent price pressures—into the current distribution ahead of the late-October Eurostat release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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