S&P 500 futures surged overnight into the 6700–6800 range after President Trump's announcement of a two-week U.S.-Iran ceasefire, propelling trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for an April 8 opening in that band following the prior close at 6616.85. This risk-on rally, fueled by plunging crude oil prices below $93/barrel amid eased Middle East tensions and Strait of Hormuz reopening hopes, reflects broad market relief from inflation and geopolitical risks, with major indexes posting sharp gains. While premarket momentum supports this positioning, a pre-open reversal from Iran truce doubts or weak Asian handoff could challenge it, though current futures stability near 6780 suggests minimal disruption ahead of the 9:30 a.m. ET bell.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertS&P 500 (SPX) Opening Price on April 8?
S&P 500 (SPX) Opening Price on April 8?
6700–6800 99.9%
6600–6700 <1%
<6600 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$51,178 Vol.
$51,178 Vol.
<6600
1%
6600–6700
1%
6700–6800
100%
6800–6900
1%
6900–7000
<1%
7000+
<1%
6700–6800 99.9%
6600–6700 <1%
<6600 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$51,178 Vol.
$51,178 Vol.
<6600
1%
6600–6700
1%
6700–6800
100%
6800–6900
1%
6900–7000
<1%
7000+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...S&P 500 futures surged overnight into the 6700–6800 range after President Trump's announcement of a two-week U.S.-Iran ceasefire, propelling trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for an April 8 opening in that band following the prior close at 6616.85. This risk-on rally, fueled by plunging crude oil prices below $93/barrel amid eased Middle East tensions and Strait of Hormuz reopening hopes, reflects broad market relief from inflation and geopolitical risks, with major indexes posting sharp gains. While premarket momentum supports this positioning, a pre-open reversal from Iran truce doubts or weak Asian handoff could challenge it, though current futures stability near 6780 suggests minimal disruption ahead of the 9:30 a.m. ET bell.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen