SpaceX shares (SPCX) closed at $152.71 on September 18 amid elevated volatility following the June IPO, with the stock trading well below its post-listing peak near $226 but above the $135 debut level. Trader sentiment reflected in the closely matched probabilities around $130–$160 ranges stems primarily from uncertainty over Starship Flight 14, now targeted for September 28 after a delay, alongside recent NASA contract extensions worth nearly $1 billion for additional crewed missions. Revenue growth from Starlink and launch cadence supports the roughly $2 trillion market cap, yet persistent losses and broader risk-asset swings keep multiple bands competitive. Key swing factors include regulatory approval for the orbital test, launch execution, and any analyst revisions ahead of the November earnings date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$135-$140 48%
$160-$165 47%
$165-$170 47%
170-175 $ 47%
< $130
42%
$130–$135
45%
$135-$140
48%
$140-$145
11%
$145-$150
20%
150–155 $
24%
155–160 $
19%
$160-$165
47%
$165-$170
47%
170-175 $
47%
>$175
43%
$135-$140 48%
$160-$165 47%
$165-$170 47%
170-175 $ 47%
< $130
42%
$130–$135
45%
$135-$140
48%
$140-$145
11%
$145-$150
20%
150–155 $
24%
155–160 $
19%
$160-$165
47%
$165-$170
47%
170-175 $
47%
>$175
43%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX shares (SPCX) closed at $152.71 on September 18 amid elevated volatility following the June IPO, with the stock trading well below its post-listing peak near $226 but above the $135 debut level. Trader sentiment reflected in the closely matched probabilities around $130–$160 ranges stems primarily from uncertainty over Starship Flight 14, now targeted for September 28 after a delay, alongside recent NASA contract extensions worth nearly $1 billion for additional crewed missions. Revenue growth from Starlink and launch cadence supports the roughly $2 trillion market cap, yet persistent losses and broader risk-asset swings keep multiple bands competitive. Key swing factors include regulatory approval for the orbital test, launch execution, and any analyst revisions ahead of the November earnings date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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