The S&P 500 trades near 7,650–7,686 in early September 2026, within 2% of its August record high of 7,799 and up roughly 19% over the trailing 12 months, supported by 24%+ projected 2026 EPS growth driven by AI infrastructure spending. Elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.78%, surging oil prices from Middle East supply shocks, and PCE inflation readings around 4.1% headline and 3.4% core have kept the Fed on hold at the 3.5–3.75% funds rate target, with futures pricing in a meaningful chance of a September hike. Traders are focused on the September FOMC meeting, upcoming nonfarm payrolls, and August CPI for signals on whether monetary policy will tighten further or remain restrictive, while seasonal September weakness and high valuations near 21x forward earnings introduce downside risks despite resilient labor markets and corporate earnings momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$332,324 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9.300
4%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ 8.600 $
10%
↑ $8.200
33%
↑ $8,000
60%
↓ $7,400
64%
↓ $7,200
71%
↓ $7,000
61%
↓ $6.200
16%
↓ $6,000
14%
↓ $5.800
8%
↓ $5.200
6%
↓ $4.500
3%
$332,324 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
3%
↑ $9.300
$9,488 Vol.
4%
↑ $9,000
$68 Vol.
3%
↑ 8.600 $
$30,574 Vol.
10%
↑ $8.200
$23,394 Vol.
33%
↑ $8,000
$489 Vol.
60%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
64%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
71%
↓ $7,000
$200 Vol.
61%
↓ $6.200
$48,339 Vol.
16%
↓ $6,000
$2,779 Vol.
14%
↓ $5.800
$41,770 Vol.
8%
↓ $5.200
$55,503 Vol.
6%
↓ $4.500
$59,566 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 trades near 7,650–7,686 in early September 2026, within 2% of its August record high of 7,799 and up roughly 19% over the trailing 12 months, supported by 24%+ projected 2026 EPS growth driven by AI infrastructure spending. Elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.78%, surging oil prices from Middle East supply shocks, and PCE inflation readings around 4.1% headline and 3.4% core have kept the Fed on hold at the 3.5–3.75% funds rate target, with futures pricing in a meaningful chance of a September hike. Traders are focused on the September FOMC meeting, upcoming nonfarm payrolls, and August CPI for signals on whether monetary policy will tighten further or remain restrictive, while seasonal September weakness and high valuations near 21x forward earnings introduce downside risks despite resilient labor markets and corporate earnings momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volumen
$332,324Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 trades near 7,650–7,686 in early September 2026, within 2% of its August record high of 7,799 and up roughly 19% over the trailing 12 months, supported by 24%+ projected 2026 EPS growth driven by AI infrastructure spending. Elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.78%, surging oil prices from Middle East supply shocks, and PCE inflation readings around 4.1% headline and 3.4% core have kept the Fed on hold at the 3.5–3.75% funds rate target, with futures pricing in a meaningful chance of a September hike. Traders are focused on the September FOMC meeting, upcoming nonfarm payrolls, and August CPI for signals on whether monetary policy will tighten further or remain restrictive, while seasonal September weakness and high valuations near 21x forward earnings introduce downside risks despite resilient labor markets and corporate earnings momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$332,324Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 trades near 7,650–7,686 in early September 2026, within 2% of its August record high of 7,799 and up roughly 19% over the trailing 12 months, supported by 24%+ projected 2026 EPS growth driven by AI infrastructure spending. Elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.78%, surging oil prices from Middle East supply shocks, and PCE inflation readings around 4.1% headline and 3.4% core have kept the Fed on hold at the 3.5–3.75% funds rate target, with futures pricing in a meaningful chance of a September hike. Traders are focused on the September FOMC meeting, upcoming nonfarm payrolls, and August CPI for signals on whether monetary policy will tighten further or remain restrictive, while seasonal September weakness and high valuations near 21x forward earnings introduce downside risks despite resilient labor markets and corporate earnings momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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