Tennessee's U.S. Senate Class II seat, held by incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty since 2021, heads into the November 2026 general election with primaries set for August 6. Hagerty faces no significant primary opposition after the March 2026 filing deadline, while Democratic candidates remain limited in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests. This backdrop underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Potential shifts would require an unforeseen primary disruption, major candidate scandal, or dramatic national political realignment before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$20,035 Vol.
$20,035 Vol.

Republikaner
92%

Demokrat
3%
$20,035 Vol.
$20,035 Vol.

Republikaner
92%

Demokrat
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's U.S. Senate Class II seat, held by incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty since 2021, heads into the November 2026 general election with primaries set for August 6. Hagerty faces no significant primary opposition after the March 2026 filing deadline, while Democratic candidates remain limited in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests. This backdrop underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Potential shifts would require an unforeseen primary disruption, major candidate scandal, or dramatic national political realignment before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen