The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's explosive $132 million domestic opening weekend, fueled by family audiences and Nintendo nostalgia despite mixed reviews, has given way to front-loaded dynamics in its sophomore frame, positioning traders' consensus at 62.5% implied probability for under $70 million. Early second-weekend Friday earnings of $18.7 million signal a 45-50% drop amid competition from the sturdy holdover Project Hail Mary, echoing the original Super Mario Bros. Movie's steeper 60% decline to $59 million. Strong post-opening weekdays like Tuesday's record $14.8 million provided a boost, but trackers project $65-75 million, with final Sunday tallies determining resolution and potential for word-of-mouth legs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2. Wochenende Abendkasse
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2. Wochenende Abendkasse
<70 Mio. 63%
70-80 Mio. 38%
80–90 Mio. <1%
>90 Mio. <1%
$52,872 Vol.
$52,872 Vol.
13. Apr. 2026
<70 Mio.
63%
70-80 Mio.
38%
80–90 Mio.
<1%
>90 Mio.
<1%
<70 Mio. 63%
70-80 Mio. 38%
80–90 Mio. <1%
>90 Mio. <1%
$52,872 Vol.
$52,872 Vol.
13. Apr. 2026
<70 Mio.
$8,786 Vol.
63%
70-80 Mio.
$7,806 Vol.
38%
80–90 Mio.
$5,006 Vol.
<1%
>90 Mio.
$31,274 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's explosive $132 million domestic opening weekend, fueled by family audiences and Nintendo nostalgia despite mixed reviews, has given way to front-loaded dynamics in its sophomore frame, positioning traders' consensus at 62.5% implied probability for under $70 million. Early second-weekend Friday earnings of $18.7 million signal a 45-50% drop amid competition from the sturdy holdover Project Hail Mary, echoing the original Super Mario Bros. Movie's steeper 60% decline to $59 million. Strong post-opening weekdays like Tuesday's record $14.8 million provided a boost, but trackers project $65-75 million, with final Sunday tallies determining resolution and potential for word-of-mouth legs.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Volumen
$52,872Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's explosive $132 million domestic opening weekend, fueled by family audiences and Nintendo nostalgia despite mixed reviews, has given way to front-loaded dynamics in its sophomore frame, positioning traders' consensus at 62.5% implied probability for under $70 million. Early second-weekend Friday earnings of $18.7 million signal a 45-50% drop amid competition from the sturdy holdover Project Hail Mary, echoing the original Super Mario Bros. Movie's steeper 60% decline to $59 million. Strong post-opening weekdays like Tuesday's record $14.8 million provided a boost, but trackers project $65-75 million, with final Sunday tallies determining resolution and potential for word-of-mouth legs.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$52,872Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's explosive $132 million domestic opening weekend, fueled by family audiences and Nintendo nostalgia despite mixed reviews, has given way to front-loaded dynamics in its sophomore frame, positioning traders' consensus at 62.5% implied probability for under $70 million. Early second-weekend Friday earnings of $18.7 million signal a 45-50% drop amid competition from the sturdy holdover Project Hail Mary, echoing the original Super Mario Bros. Movie's steeper 60% decline to $59 million. Strong post-opening weekdays like Tuesday's record $14.8 million provided a boost, but trackers project $65-75 million, with final Sunday tallies determining resolution and potential for word-of-mouth legs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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