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Trump-Genehmigung diese Woche hoch oder runter?

Market icon

Trump-Genehmigung diese Woche hoch oder runter?

Mar 14

Mar 14

Gestiegen

4% chance
Polymarket

$11,696 Vol.

Gestiegen

4% chance
Polymarket

$11,696 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$11,696
Enddatum
Mar 14, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 6, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$11,696
Enddatum
Mar 14, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 6, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump-Genehmigung diese Woche hoch oder runter?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Bitcoin's price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 96% for "Gefallen." A price of 96% means the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Bitcoin price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump-Genehmigung diese Woche hoch oder runter?" has generated $11.7K in total trading volume. Bitcoin Up or Down markets attract active traders reacting to live price movements in real time — this level of activity helps ensure the current Up/Down odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live prices and place a trade directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump-Genehmigung diese Woche hoch oder runter?," decide whether you believe Bitcoin's price at noon ET on March 13 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Bitcoin's price at noon ET on March 6. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "Trump-Genehmigung diese Woche hoch oder runter?" is 96% for "Gefallen," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 96% chance that Bitcoin's price will finish gefallen over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live Bitcoin price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "Trump-Genehmigung diese Woche hoch oder runter?" market resolves based on a comparison of Bitcoin's price at noon ET on March 13 versus noon ET on March 6, using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the March 13 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.