Polymarket traders assign a [XX]% implied probability to Tesla (TSLA) closing above $300 on March 23, propelled by the stock's explosive rally to $488 intraday highs in December 2024 on record Q4 deliveries of 495,570 vehicles and euphoria over robotaxi potential under a pro-deregulation Trump administration. TSLA trades at around $420 as of late December, up 110% YTD, with market-implied odds reflecting unwinding short interest and FSD adoption momentum despite China sales weakness. Volatility persists amid EV demand concerns; watch Q1 earnings April 22 and March 19 FOMC for rate signals impacting growth stocks, as any demand shortfall could cap upside below the threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert360 $
52%
370 $
50%
$380
51%
$390
5%
400 $
38%
$393 Vol.
360 $
52%
370 $
50%
$380
51%
$390
5%
400 $
38%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a [XX]% implied probability to Tesla (TSLA) closing above $300 on March 23, propelled by the stock's explosive rally to $488 intraday highs in December 2024 on record Q4 deliveries of 495,570 vehicles and euphoria over robotaxi potential under a pro-deregulation Trump administration. TSLA trades at around $420 as of late December, up 110% YTD, with market-implied odds reflecting unwinding short interest and FSD adoption momentum despite China sales weakness. Volatility persists amid EV demand concerns; watch Q1 earnings April 22 and March 19 FOMC for rate signals impacting growth stocks, as any demand shortfall could cap upside below the threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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