Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Tesla (TSLA) week-of-April-20 closing share price odds, with closely matched ~49.5% implied probabilities across bins from below $365 to above $410, driven by volatility ahead of Q1 earnings on April 22. Shares rallied to $400.62 (+3.01% intraday April 17, day's high $409.28), snapping an eight-week losing streak on FSD "Streaks" gamification launch, Dutch approval, and upgrades like UBS to Neutral ($352 target) and TD Cowen Buy ($490), amid lowered EPS bar (~$0.38, revenue ~$22.3B). Weak Q1 deliveries, 164,000-unit inventory pileup, EV demand softness, and robotaxi/Optimus delays versus AI capex heighten risks; earnings guidance on Full Self-Driving ramp and autonomy will be pivotal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTesla (TSLA) closes week of Apr 20 at ___?
Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Apr 20 at ___?
>$410 40%
$405-$410 14%
$365-$370 9%
$370-$375 9%
NEU
NEU
24. Apr. 2026
<$365
34%
$365-$370
9%
$370-$375
9%
$375-$380
7%
$380-$385
8%
$385-$390
8%
$390-$395
8%
$395-$400
8%
$400-$405
7%
$405-$410
14%
>$410
40%
>$410 40%
$405-$410 14%
$365-$370 9%
$370-$375 9%
NEU
NEU
24. Apr. 2026
<$365
$101 Vol.
34%
$365-$370
$108 Vol.
9%
$370-$375
$107 Vol.
9%
$375-$380
$108 Vol.
7%
$380-$385
$0 Vol.
8%
$385-$390
$0 Vol.
8%
$390-$395
$0 Vol.
8%
$395-$400
$0 Vol.
8%
$400-$405
$0 Vol.
7%
$405-$410
$0 Vol.
14%
>$410
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Tesla (TSLA) week-of-April-20 closing share price odds, with closely matched ~49.5% implied probabilities across bins from below $365 to above $410, driven by volatility ahead of Q1 earnings on April 22. Shares rallied to $400.62 (+3.01% intraday April 17, day's high $409.28), snapping an eight-week losing streak on FSD "Streaks" gamification launch, Dutch approval, and upgrades like UBS to Neutral ($352 target) and TD Cowen Buy ($490), amid lowered EPS bar (~$0.38, revenue ~$22.3B). Weak Q1 deliveries, 164,000-unit inventory pileup, EV demand softness, and robotaxi/Optimus delays versus AI capex heighten risks; earnings guidance on Full Self-Driving ramp and autonomy will be pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volumen
$425Enddatum
24. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Tesla (TSLA) week-of-April-20 closing share price odds, with closely matched ~49.5% implied probabilities across bins from below $365 to above $410, driven by volatility ahead of Q1 earnings on April 22. Shares rallied to $400.62 (+3.01% intraday April 17, day's high $409.28), snapping an eight-week losing streak on FSD "Streaks" gamification launch, Dutch approval, and upgrades like UBS to Neutral ($352 target) and TD Cowen Buy ($490), amid lowered EPS bar (~$0.38, revenue ~$22.3B). Weak Q1 deliveries, 164,000-unit inventory pileup, EV demand softness, and robotaxi/Optimus delays versus AI capex heighten risks; earnings guidance on Full Self-Driving ramp and autonomy will be pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$425Enddatum
24. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Tesla (TSLA) week-of-April-20 closing share price odds, with closely matched ~49.5% implied probabilities across bins from below $365 to above $410, driven by volatility ahead of Q1 earnings on April 22. Shares rallied to $400.62 (+3.01% intraday April 17, day's high $409.28), snapping an eight-week losing streak on FSD "Streaks" gamification launch, Dutch approval, and upgrades like UBS to Neutral ($352 target) and TD Cowen Buy ($490), amid lowered EPS bar (~$0.38, revenue ~$22.3B). Weak Q1 deliveries, 164,000-unit inventory pileup, EV demand softness, and robotaxi/Optimus delays versus AI capex heighten risks; earnings guidance on Full Self-Driving ramp and autonomy will be pivotal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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