Polymarket's tightly clustered implied probabilities—hovering at 48-49.5% across $350-$395 closing bins for Tesla (TSLA) the week of March 30—signal trader consensus on high near-term volatility around the current ~$365 share price, with no dominant outcome amid balanced risk-reward dynamics. Recent downside from $390 mid-week highs to Friday's $372 close and Monday's $359 intraday low reflects analyst revisions lowering Q1 delivery estimates amid softening EV demand and broader tech sector pressure from geopolitical tensions. Key differentiators include trading volume spikes and technical support at $360; the imminent Q1 production/delivery report (consensus ~390,000 units) stands as the primary swing factor, potentially catalyzing a breakout above $385 or drop below $350.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertTesla (TSLA) schließt die Woche vom 30. März um ___?
Tesla (TSLA) schließt die Woche vom 30. März um ___?
>395 $ 97%
<350 $ 50%
$350-$355 49%
$360-$365 49%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<350 $
50%
$350-$355
49%
$355-$360
47%
$360-$365
49%
$365–$370
48%
370–375 $
49%
$375-$380
49%
$380-$385
49%
$385-$390
49%
390–395 $
49%
>395 $
97%
>395 $ 97%
<350 $ 50%
$350-$355 49%
$360-$365 49%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<350 $
$0 Vol.
50%
$350-$355
$0 Vol.
49%
$355-$360
$0 Vol.
47%
$360-$365
$0 Vol.
49%
$365–$370
$0 Vol.
48%
370–375 $
$0 Vol.
49%
$375-$380
$0 Vol.
49%
$380-$385
$0 Vol.
49%
$385-$390
$0 Vol.
49%
390–395 $
$0 Vol.
49%
>395 $
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket's tightly clustered implied probabilities—hovering at 48-49.5% across $350-$395 closing bins for Tesla (TSLA) the week of March 30—signal trader consensus on high near-term volatility around the current ~$365 share price, with no dominant outcome amid balanced risk-reward dynamics. Recent downside from $390 mid-week highs to Friday's $372 close and Monday's $359 intraday low reflects analyst revisions lowering Q1 delivery estimates amid softening EV demand and broader tech sector pressure from geopolitical tensions. Key differentiators include trading volume spikes and technical support at $360; the imminent Q1 production/delivery report (consensus ~390,000 units) stands as the primary swing factor, potentially catalyzing a breakout above $385 or drop below $350.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Apr 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket's tightly clustered implied probabilities—hovering at 48-49.5% across $350-$395 closing bins for Tesla (TSLA) the week of March 30—signal trader consensus on high near-term volatility around the current ~$365 share price, with no dominant outcome amid balanced risk-reward dynamics. Recent downside from $390 mid-week highs to Friday's $372 close and Monday's $359 intraday low reflects analyst revisions lowering Q1 delivery estimates amid softening EV demand and broader tech sector pressure from geopolitical tensions. Key differentiators include trading volume spikes and technical support at $360; the imminent Q1 production/delivery report (consensus ~390,000 units) stands as the primary swing factor, potentially catalyzing a breakout above $385 or drop below $350.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Apr 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket's tightly clustered implied probabilities—hovering at 48-49.5% across $350-$395 closing bins for Tesla (TSLA) the week of March 30—signal trader consensus on high near-term volatility around the current ~$365 share price, with no dominant outcome amid balanced risk-reward dynamics. Recent downside from $390 mid-week highs to Friday's $372 close and Monday's $359 intraday low reflects analyst revisions lowering Q1 delivery estimates amid softening EV demand and broader tech sector pressure from geopolitical tensions. Key differentiators include trading volume spikes and technical support at $360; the imminent Q1 production/delivery report (consensus ~390,000 units) stands as the primary swing factor, potentially catalyzing a breakout above $385 or drop below $350.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen