Tesla shares closed near 407.76 on July 10 amid moderate trading volume, leaving the July 17 weekly settlement price range evenly contested at 50% implied probability across $385–$430 buckets. This flat distribution reflects balanced trader views on near-term momentum, with key swing factors including Q2 delivery data, margin trends, and broader EV demand signals expected before resolution. Recent price consolidation around current levels, coupled with typical post-earnings volatility, underscores uncertainty over whether momentum sustains above 410 or retraces toward 390–400 support. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital positions without favoring directional catalysts ahead of the week’s close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$390-$395 49%
$425-$430 49%
<$385 49%
$385-$390 49%
<$385
49%
$385-$390
49%
$390-$395
49%
$395-$400
48%
$400-$405
48%
$405-$410
49%
$410-$415
49%
$415-$420
49%
$420-$425
49%
$425-$430
49%
>$430
48%
$390-$395 49%
$425-$430 49%
<$385 49%
$385-$390 49%
<$385
49%
$385-$390
49%
$390-$395
49%
$395-$400
48%
$400-$405
48%
$405-$410
49%
$410-$415
49%
$415-$420
49%
$420-$425
49%
$425-$430
49%
>$430
48%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 10, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed near 407.76 on July 10 amid moderate trading volume, leaving the July 17 weekly settlement price range evenly contested at 50% implied probability across $385–$430 buckets. This flat distribution reflects balanced trader views on near-term momentum, with key swing factors including Q2 delivery data, margin trends, and broader EV demand signals expected before resolution. Recent price consolidation around current levels, coupled with typical post-earnings volatility, underscores uncertainty over whether momentum sustains above 410 or retraces toward 390–400 support. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital positions without favoring directional catalysts ahead of the week’s close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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