Tesla shares closed at $406.43 on June 12 amid ongoing volatility, with the wide spread of Polymarket probabilities reflecting uncertainty over the June 15–19 trading week. Trader positioning shows the heaviest implied probability on a close above $420, consistent with recent rebounds and focus on robotaxi/Cybercab timelines, Semi production ramps, and potential autonomy milestones. Offsetting this are pressures from Model S/X discontinuation by June 30, EV market competition, and broader equity sentiment, supporting notable odds on sub-$375 closes. The distribution around current levels underscores how incremental news on deliveries, regulatory updates, or macroeconomic data could shift outcomes before Friday’s settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTesla (TSLA) closes week of Jun 15 at ___?
>$420 41%
$410-$415 30%
<$375 18%
$405-$410 13%
<$375
18%
$375-$380
11%
$380-$385
11%
$385-$390
11%
$390-$395
9%
$395-$400
9%
$400-$405
9%
$405-$410
13%
$410-$415
30%
$415-$420
8%
>$420
41%
>$420 41%
$410-$415 30%
<$375 18%
$405-$410 13%
<$375
18%
$375-$380
11%
$380-$385
11%
$385-$390
11%
$390-$395
9%
$395-$400
9%
$400-$405
9%
$405-$410
13%
$410-$415
30%
$415-$420
8%
>$420
41%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Abwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed at $406.43 on June 12 amid ongoing volatility, with the wide spread of Polymarket probabilities reflecting uncertainty over the June 15–19 trading week. Trader positioning shows the heaviest implied probability on a close above $420, consistent with recent rebounds and focus on robotaxi/Cybercab timelines, Semi production ramps, and potential autonomy milestones. Offsetting this are pressures from Model S/X discontinuation by June 30, EV market competition, and broader equity sentiment, supporting notable odds on sub-$375 closes. The distribution around current levels underscores how incremental news on deliveries, regulatory updates, or macroeconomic data could shift outcomes before Friday’s settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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