Tesla shares have traded in a tight $416–$453 range this month amid mixed Q1 delivery data and accelerating focus on autonomy and Optimus robotics, producing the current 45.5% market-implied odds for a $425–$430 close on May 22. Recent sessions show elevated volume and intraday swings as traders weigh softer EV demand against Piper Sandler’s $500 price target that assigns zero value to the robotaxi pipeline. With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures stable and no major Fed or earnings catalysts scheduled before week-end, the narrow spread between the sub-$420 and $425–$430 buckets reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether AI-driven sentiment can offset near-term volume softness and push the stock toward the upper end of its recent band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert<$420 43%
>$465 39%
$420-$425 13%
$430-$435 12%
NEU
NEU
22. Mai 2026
<$420
43%
$420-$425
13%
$425-$430
10%
$430-$435
12%
$435-$440
12%
$440-$445
11%
$445-$450
11%
$450-$455
11%
$455-$460
10%
$460-$465
10%
>$465
39%
<$420 43%
>$465 39%
$420-$425 13%
$430-$435 12%
NEU
NEU
22. Mai 2026
<$420
$0 Vol.
43%
$420-$425
$0 Vol.
13%
$425-$430
$0 Vol.
10%
$430-$435
$0 Vol.
12%
$435-$440
$0 Vol.
12%
$440-$445
$0 Vol.
11%
$445-$450
$0 Vol.
11%
$450-$455
$0 Vol.
11%
$455-$460
$0 Vol.
10%
$460-$465
$0 Vol.
10%
>$465
$0 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares have traded in a tight $416–$453 range this month amid mixed Q1 delivery data and accelerating focus on autonomy and Optimus robotics, producing the current 45.5% market-implied odds for a $425–$430 close on May 22. Recent sessions show elevated volume and intraday swings as traders weigh softer EV demand against Piper Sandler’s $500 price target that assigns zero value to the robotaxi pipeline. With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures stable and no major Fed or earnings catalysts scheduled before week-end, the narrow spread between the sub-$420 and $425–$430 buckets reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether AI-driven sentiment can offset near-term volume softness and push the stock toward the upper end of its recent band.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
22. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares have traded in a tight $416–$453 range this month amid mixed Q1 delivery data and accelerating focus on autonomy and Optimus robotics, producing the current 45.5% market-implied odds for a $425–$430 close on May 22. Recent sessions show elevated volume and intraday swings as traders weigh softer EV demand against Piper Sandler’s $500 price target that assigns zero value to the robotaxi pipeline. With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures stable and no major Fed or earnings catalysts scheduled before week-end, the narrow spread between the sub-$420 and $425–$430 buckets reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether AI-driven sentiment can offset near-term volume softness and push the stock toward the upper end of its recent band.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$0Enddatum
22. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares have traded in a tight $416–$453 range this month amid mixed Q1 delivery data and accelerating focus on autonomy and Optimus robotics, producing the current 45.5% market-implied odds for a $425–$430 close on May 22. Recent sessions show elevated volume and intraday swings as traders weigh softer EV demand against Piper Sandler’s $500 price target that assigns zero value to the robotaxi pipeline. With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures stable and no major Fed or earnings catalysts scheduled before week-end, the narrow spread between the sub-$420 and $425–$430 buckets reflects ongoing uncertainty over whether AI-driven sentiment can offset near-term volume softness and push the stock toward the upper end of its recent band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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